EARN
every earnings report has an expected number. meet it. beat it. miss it.
A market for whether a company will meet its expected earnings. Settled on Robinhood Chain.
a market on expected earnings, not price.
Every earnings report gets measured against one number — what the company was expected to earn. EARN publishes that expected number for a company's upcoming quarter, and you stake on whether the real result beats it, misses it, or meets it right on the nose.
every quarter has an expected number.
Wall Street publishes what it expects a company to earn each quarter. EARN is a market on that expected number itself — it's published, and you stake money on whether the real result comes in below it, at it, or above it.
choose
Select a company and its upcoming earnings report.
stake
Put money behind a miss, meet, or beat of expected earnings.
settle
Payout scales with how far the real EPS lands from what was expected — land on the wrong side and it settles at zero.
the payout curve
Every contract pays out somewhere between $0 and $1 at settlement, purely on where the actual EPS lands relative to expected earnings — price only sets what it costs you to get in.
a worked example
win — A company's expected EPS is $1.12. You stake $100 on beat at its $0.23 entry price, buying about 435 contracts. It reports $1.60 — 43% above what was expected — so each contract pays $0.43. Your $100 becomes about $186: an $86 profit.
lose — Same report, but you'd staked that $100 on miss instead. EPS came in above the expected number, not below it, so the position never entered its paying zone. It settles at zero, and the $100 is gone.
markets
positions
how positions settle
automatic settlement
Positions resolve the moment a company reports — nothing to close manually.
payout follows the curve
What comes back depends on how far the actual EPS landed from what was expected — the same curve shown in how it works.
this session only
Balance and positions live only here — nothing is written on-chain or moves real funds.
tokenomics
$EARN is a token for aligning the market with the people staking in it — the more you hold and stake, the more of the platform's own economics you take part in.
Ticker
$EARN
Network
Robinhood Chain
Total supply
1,000,000,000
allocation
unlocks
what it's for
fee share
Staking $EARN earns a slice of the fees EARN takes when markets settle, paid out from real platform volume rather than new emissions.
listing votes
Holders vote on which companies and upcoming earnings reports get their own market next.
better entries
Higher staking tiers get slightly better entry pricing when opening a position, so active stakers pay less to play.
earnings curation
Stakers help set and challenge the published expected earnings, so no single analyst or party controls the number everyone settles against.
buyback & burn
A portion of settlement fees is used to buy back and burn $EARN, so supply tightens as platform volume grows instead of staying fixed.
early access
New companies and upcoming reports open to staked holders first, before they're listed to the wider market.
the fee loop
Every settlement carries a small fee, split in two. Half funds the oracle that aggregates and publishes each market's expected EPS number — the number every position settles against. The other half buys back $EARN on the open market and burns it, permanently removing it from the 1,000,000,000 supply. Supply only moves down. In a live version, every buyback would be posted publicly with its transaction link, the same way each market already shows its own results history.
Settlement fee
1.5%
Oracle funding
50%
Buyback & burn
50%
what's next
The market itself is live today. Here's the order the token side gets built in.
core earnings markets
A curated set of companies and upcoming quarters, with expected earnings published and curated manually — the version running on this site today.
automated expectations engine
Expected earnings aggregated and published on a fixed on-chain schedule, removing the manual publishing step entirely.
on-chain settlement
Positions settle through a contract instead of a session-only ledger, so a position outlives the browser tab it was opened in.
automated buyback
The $EARN buyback and burn moves from a manual, publicly-posted process to a contract that executes it on schedule.
full listing governance
$EARN holders fully control which companies and reports get listed, replacing manual curation entirely.
company news
Search live news for any company listed on EARN — real headlines, pulled from Google News as you search.
why we built $EARN
Every earnings season, the same thing happens. A company reports, the number comes in above or below what Wall Street expected, and the stock moves — sometimes wildly, sometimes for reasons that have nothing to do with the business itself. We wanted a market that isolates that one specific event: not "will the stock go up," but "will the company actually hit the number everyone's watching."
the problem with betting on stocks
Buying a stock ahead of earnings mixes together dozens of things you're not actually trying to bet on — interest rates, sector rotation, the market's mood that week. If you think a company is going to blow past what's expected, there's no clean way to express just that view. EARN is built to isolate it.
why expected earnings
Every public company already has a number attached to it before it reports — what analysts expect it to earn. That number is public, it's specific, and it settles within a single quarter. It's one of the cleanest recurring events in the entire market calendar.
why Robinhood Chain
We wanted settlement to be fast and fees to be close to zero, the same way Robinhood made trading itself commission-free. Building on Robinhood Chain means a position can settle in about a second once a report hits, without the friction of a traditional clearing process.
where we are today
This build is a working demo — real wallet connections, real live news per company, real math behind every payout — but balances are simulated and $EARN doesn't exist yet. We'd rather ship something honest and incomplete than something polished and fake. The tokenomics page lays out exactly what's live today versus what's next.
If the idea of staking on whether a company beats its number resonates with you the way it did with us, go see for yourself.
terms
Last updated September 2026
what EARN is
EARN is a demonstration platform for staking on whether a company will meet its expected earnings, rather than betting on stock price directly. Everything on this site — balances, positions, settlements, and $EARN itself — is illustrative. No account here holds or moves real money.
eligibility
EARN is not available to persons or entities located in, incorporated in, or resident of any jurisdiction subject to comprehensive sanctions, or where use of a product like this would be prohibited by local law.
no investment advice
Nothing on this site — expected earnings figures, payout curves, worked examples, or results history — is financial, investment, or trading advice. Expected earnings figures shown here are illustrative, not real analyst data, and past results shown here do not predict future ones.
simulated balances
Deposits, stakes, and positions exist only for the current session and reset when a wallet disconnects. EARN does not custody funds, issue securities, or settle real trades.
changes
These terms may be updated as the product changes. Continued use of the site after an update constitutes acceptance of the revised terms.
risk
Last updated September 2026
settlement risk
Every position on EARN can settle at zero. A stake only pays out if the actual EPS lands on the correct side of the published expected number — landing on the wrong side means the full stake is lost, not partially returned.
no principal protection
There is no minimum payout, refund, or guarantee on any position. Contracts are priced so that, on average, the platform's payouts are funded by the stakes of positions that lose.
expected earnings risk
Expected earnings figures are published numbers used to settle markets. They are illustrative in this demo and, in a live version, would still be analyst estimates rather than guarantees of what a company actually reports.
earnings volatility
Earnings surprises are sensitive to guidance changes, one-time items, and accounting adjustments. Actual EPS can differ sharply from any published expected number, in either direction.
token risk
$EARN, as described on the tokenomics page, does not currently exist. Allocation, unlock schedules, and utility are subject to change and are not commitments.
privacy
Last updated September 2026
what this demo collects
This build of EARN does not create real accounts or store personal data on a server. Wallet connection, balance, and positions live only in your browser session and disappear on disconnect or refresh.
cookies & local storage
EARN does not use tracking cookies or third-party analytics in this demo. Any session state is kept in memory only.
third-party links
Links to X and other external sites are provided for convenience. EARN is not responsible for the privacy practices of sites it links to.
contact
Questions about this policy can be sent to hello@earnmarkets.com.